International Oil Prices

Do Oil Futures Prices Help Predict Future Oil Prices?

2004 and by more than 40% since the beginning of 2005.Though the U.S. economy has apparently absorbed this supply shock well so far, the path of future oil prices remains a concern for monetary policymakers. Higher oil prices can damp demand, as consumers and firms spend more of their budgets on oil-related products and less on other goods and services. Furthermore, if higher oil prices are pas...

Immigration and International Prices ∗

This paper considers the relation between immigration and prices for a large number of cities across the world over the period from 1990 to 2006. Immigration is shown to have a negative impact on international relative prices. A 10 percent increase in the share of immigrant workers in total employment decreases the prices of final goods and services by more than 2.5 percent. Our results suggest...

Transmission of International Prices of Corn to Iranian Domestic Markets

Market volatility remains one of the most important research fields in agricultural economics.Interestingly, price transmission mechanism seems to be symmetric in sectors that are likely to be of high political power.This paper analyzes the price transmission effects from international markets to domestic markets for corn in Iran. For this purpose, we estimate the elasticity of substitution bet...

The Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on Gasoline Prices

Anticipated and unanticipated effects of crude oil prices and oil inventory changes on gasoline prices

This paper proposes a method of distinguishing between the effect of anticipated and unanticipated changes in oil prices and oil inventories on the US gasoline prices. I show that gasoline price adjustments are faster and stronger for anticipated changes in oil prices and inventory levels than for unanticipated changes. The dynamics of the gasoline price response depends on the relative importa...